Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 3.325361 3.677415 4.058946 4.504460 5.012054 5.574282 6.246783
2025-08-10 2.814527 3.284862 3.830033 4.513570 5.354555 6.364401 7.682367
2025-08-17 2.421296 2.933622 3.556167 4.377668 5.447236 6.812386 8.719219
2025-08-24 2.167015 2.704482 3.382679 4.315618 5.588578 7.299397 9.833802
2025-08-31 1.984305 2.539117 3.261997 4.292705 5.758028 7.820124 11.042955
2025-09-07 1.886958 2.471696 3.256921 4.415520 6.129516 8.653392 12.815988
2025-09-14 1.759118 2.348972 3.161094 4.394204 6.281010 9.169864 14.164637
2025-09-21 1.643062 2.231610 3.060107 4.350852 6.387264 9.619122 15.459239
2025-09-28 1.500435 2.065116 2.873965 4.159991 6.239200 9.636073 16.000764
2025-10-05 1.434678 2.004947 2.838356 4.195155 6.452704 10.270165 17.741982
2025-10-12 1.386039 1.965999 2.830404 4.270964 6.737625 11.056465 19.897313
2025-10-19 1.342255 1.930841 2.824625 4.347866 7.029424 11.887228 22.284939
2025-10-26 1.293606 1.886429 2.803177 4.400319 7.290444 12.708402 24.845674
2025-11-02 1.242520 1.834929 2.766635 4.423588 7.500879 13.461459 27.418308
2025-11-09 1.165382 1.737275 2.648150 4.293366 7.409748 13.599369 28.600149
2025-11-16 1.108285 1.668544 2.572832 4.233177 7.445087 13.998969 30.489999
2025-11-23 1.062709 1.615957 2.521035 4.210869 7.551226 14.560666 32.907949
2025-11-30 1.045268 1.608679 2.545547 4.330798 7.954828 15.828923 37.493678
2025-12-07 1.005465 1.561579 2.497842 4.309988 8.064751 16.447179 40.439738
2025-12-14 0.965023 1.511266 2.441391 4.267660 8.124140 16.954608 43.193266
2025-12-21 0.905097 1.424749 2.315858 4.081279 7.853974 16.632298 43.348363
2025-12-28 0.882064 1.401064 2.302117 4.115621 8.073691 17.550664 47.667515
2026-01-04 0.866002 1.388676 2.308028 4.189653 8.390253 18.764272 53.338052